Groundhog Day

Seems we’ve been here before … and before … and before …

The calendar says it’s February 2nd, Groundhog Day. It’s prediction day regarding how much longer winter will be, or how soon spring will arrive. Punxsutawney Phil, the most famous furry prognosticator of winter, predicted spring is just around the corner. For those emerging from the polar vortex, it is a well-received prediction. A few other groundhogs elsewhere saw their shadows, indicating another six weeks of winter. By coincidence, spring arrives in six weeks.

Will it be more winter?

In Colorado, March is the snowiest month with record snowfalls. The past few years, not so much, mostly due to a drought cycle in the west.

Or, will it be an early spring?

The American Robin, the first indicator of spring will begin arriving in the days ahead. The earliest of arrivals are those who winter over. The larger group of robins, arriving in March, will be those who have migrated from southern New Mexico or northern Mexico.

Traditionally, if the weather on February 2nd is bright and sunny, winter’s snow and frost would continue until the hiring of laborers six weeks later (vernal equinox) to prepare and plant the fields. If the weather is dark and cloudy, warmth and early rains will lead to an early thaw of the fields.

Today is sunny and bright, and warm, in Colorado. Will winter continue? The omen says it will. So does the private weather forecast.

Living in Colorado requires always being ready for snow. The snow shovel will continue to stand ready. And, the front-end shovel on the Kubota.

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Groundhog Day

The forecast has been made. It will be an early spring as Punxsutawney Phil emerged from his burrow and did not see his shadow. The media outlets, however, did not ask if any of the meterologists and climatologists at the National Weather Service saw their shadow.

Will it be another six weeks of winter …

 

… or an early spring?

 

We’ll have to wait and see.

The cats, though, do not make weather forecasts. They have other things to do …